Muhammad Ali Jinnah’s Two Nation Theory played an important role in the creation of Pakistan. Based on this theory, in 1947, the partition of India and the creation of Pakistan were sought. Therefore, Hindus and Muslims of the Indian subcontinent are two different nations, whose religious, cultural, social and historical identity are so different that they cannot live in a nation together. This theory justified the establishment of a separate country, Pakistan, for Muslim -majority regions.
In 1971, East Pakistan separated from Pakistan and made a separate country Bangladesh. This theory ended at the same day, but the Pakistan rulers still call for this principle to save their throne and prevent Pakistan from disintegrating. A few days before the Pahalgam attack, the head of the Pakistani Army, Asim Munir, while addressing a conference of migrant Pakistanis, stated to Nation Theory right.
In this conference, Munir raised a lot of poison against India, proving his superiority on Hindus. For this reason, people in Pakistan also believe that Munir has carried out the Pahalgam Atteck due to his ambition, but now Pakistan is suffering the brunt of the Pahalgam attack. The acts of Pakistan have done after Operation Sindoor, it seems that the future of Pakistan is in the balance. Let us see what can happen to Pakistan in future?
1- A military dictator comes to Pakistan by removing Munir
Marshal La has a history in Pakistan. Here the army has captured power several times in the past such as in 1958, 1977, 1999. Currently, the political influence of the army is strong. The way there is air in Pakistan against the current army chief Asim Munir, there is increasing danger for him.
It is possible that after eating the mouth of the Pakistani army at the hands of India, another army officer of the army will be imprisoned Munir and becomes a dictator himself. Recently, there were many reports of internal dissatisfaction in the Pak Army.
In March 2025, the Pakistani Army junior officers (Colonel, Major, Captain Rank) and the soldiers wrote an open letter against Aseem Munir, seeking their resignation. In the letter, he was accused of making the army a weapon of political oppression, crushing democratic forces and promoting economic waste.
The letter compared the 1971 war, stating that Munir’s leadership put the army’s reputation into the gutter and made the army to disintegrate among the public.
Some media reports and X posts claimed that 500 soldiers resigned collectively, although the army headquarters refused to accept it.
Obviously, everything is not going well in the Pak Army. Pakistan has a history that in such a situation a new leadership is born which always comes from the coup. The general public also accepts military rule due to economic crisis, terrorism, and political instability.
2- Pakistan’s position may be like Syria
How difficult the war is for Pakistan is that it can be understood that the Government of Pakistan is in financial crisis from now on. It is obvious that in such a situation the debt crisis (repaying $ 73 billion by 2025) and unemployment is scheduled to increase. If this happens, social unrest (demonstration, strike) can give rise to protests like Syria. PTM in BLA and KPK in Balochistan can increase violence.
There are many claims on social media that Balochistan is moving towards independence, and India’s support can further increase this problem. Groups such as TTP and ISIS-Khorasan can spread chaos like ISIS of Syria, especially in KPK and Balochistan. It is obvious that the entire focus of the Pak Army will be on rescue from the Indian Army. Its influence and the government’s disability will increase which can further increase the dissatisfaction of the public, as against Assad in Syria.
3- India will draw military conflict until Pakistan itself breaks down
India’s strategy may be to turn tension with Pakistan into limited military conflicts. The kind of steps that India has taken after the Pahgam attack indicates something similar. Steps like suspending the Indus Water Treaty and Operation Sindoor are a similar decision that India will want to prolong limited military conflict rather than entering the war. Firing, surgical strikes, or airstrikes may increase on the border from both sides of India and Pakistan. The United Nations, America, and Iran have appealed for restraint but no one wants to come forward openly from any side.
In fact, Pakistan will especially suffer economic losses due to limited conflict. Because its economy is already weak. India’s military superiority (S-400, Rafael) can give him an edge. India would like that Pakistan gets stuck in the war in such a way that its financial back is broken. The army will be trapped on the Indian border, due to which the situation in Baloch and Khyber Pakhtunwa, Sindh etc. in Pakistan will become uncontrolled.
4- At least Pakistan should be divided into 3 pieces
From the kind of aggression that India is showing this time, it seems that it is ready for a war like 1971. If there is a direct contest in India and Pakistan, then areas like Balochistan, Sindh, and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa can fly different. Some people claim that India, Afghanistan and some other countries may support these movements. Pakistan is already in economic crisis.
The Government of Pakistan is in a weak position due to debt burden (repaying $ 73 billion by 2025) and foreign exchange reserves ($ 4.3 billion, 2023). India will directly take advantage of it. If Balochistan and Sindh declare independence, then India will be the first to recognize them. Due to these separatist movements of Pakistan, neighboring countries like Afghanistan or Iran can also increase their influence.
